As of March 25, 2026, AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.) is in a volatility expansion state on the daily chart, with a confidence level of 72%. Key support is at $100 and key resistance at $120. After a vertical run to ~$125–$130, AAOI is consolidating with high volatility above rising EMA50/EMA100; current price ~$113.90 with RSI ~62.
Bullish consolidation resolves upward (likely wave (4) sideways/triangle finishing, then wave (5) attempt) with a push back to the prior spike zone; expect a possible retest of broken resistance before continuation.
Mean-reversion pullback (post blow-off) into the prior breakout base/EMA cluster; could be an ABC correction from the ~$125–$130 top, with buyers defending the first major demand zone.
2 daily closes above $120 that hold above $115 on retests
Daily close below $100 (loss of consolidation floor and likely deeper mean reversion)
Start/add align with consolidation floor + prior breakout demand; heavy add is a deeper fib-style retrace toward rising EMA50 area (~$72) where trend support is strongest if volatility flushes.
Trims into prior spike/extension zones where price is most stretched vs EMA50/EMA100; full close only if a sustained parabolic extension prints far above long MAs with blow-off risk.
As of March 25, 2026, AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.) is in a volatility expansion state on the daily chart with 72% confidence. After a vertical run to ~$125–$130, AAOI is consolidating with high volatility above rising EMA50/EMA100; current price ~$113.90 with RSI ~62.
On the daily timeframe, AAOI has key support at $100 and key resistance at $120. The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $125 and $135, with a revert level at $110.
AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.) is currently classified as volatility expansion on the daily chart, with 72% confidence. Confirmation requires: 2 daily closes above $120 that hold above $115 on retests This would be invalidated by: Daily close below $100 (loss of consolidation floor and likely deeper mean reversion)
The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $125 and $135, with a revert level at $110. The alternative scenario (bearish) targets $95.0 and $85.0.
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