As of May 22, 2026, AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.) is in a uptrend state on the daily chart, with a confidence level of 66%. Key support is at $172 and key resistance at $190. After a sharp pullback from the $220+ spike, price is holding above the rising EMA50 (~$145.66) and reclaiming the short-term slope (EMA20 ~$172.30) with RSI-14 ~54.9 (neutral-bullish).
Bullish continuation: consolidates above the $172-$175 area (EMA20 zone), then grinds through $190 and retests the prior supply zone near $205-$220 (typical Wave 4 consolidation then Wave 5 attempt). Prob ~60%.
Deeper correction: fails at $190, rolls over and mean-reverts to the rising EMA50/$145 area (and possibly the SMA50 ~$141.67) before stabilizing. Prob ~40%.
2+ daily closes above $190 (reclaim of post-selloff pivot area) while holding above $172 (EMA20 zone).
Daily close below $145 (loss of EMA50 and prior pullback base).
Buy the trend on pullbacks: start near EMA20 support, add into the mid-correction shelf, and deploy heavier near EMA50/SMA50 confluence where trend invalidation is nearby.
Trim into prior high/supply ($205-$220); heavier trimming on a breakout-extension above the old peak; close if price reaches a multi-year extension zone (likely Wave-5 blowoff) far above the main MAs.
As of May 22, 2026, AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.) is in a uptrend state on the daily chart with 66% confidence. After a sharp pullback from the $220+ spike, price is holding above the rising EMA50 (~$145.66) and reclaiming the short-term slope (EMA20 ~$172.30) with RSI-14 ~54.9 (neutral-bullish).
On the daily timeframe, AAOI has key support at $172 and key resistance at $190. The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $205 and $220, with a revert level at $190.
AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.) is currently classified as uptrend on the daily chart, with 66% confidence. Confirmation requires: 2+ daily closes above $190 (reclaim of post-selloff pivot area) while holding above $172 (EMA20 zone). This would be invalidated by: Daily close below $145 (loss of EMA50 and prior pullback base).
The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $205 and $220, with a revert level at $190. The alternative scenario (bearish) targets $155 and $145.
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