As of May 22, 2026, TOST (Toast Inc.) is in a falling knife state on the daily chart, with a confidence level of 72%. Key support is at $22.8 and key resistance at $26.6. Price at $23.16 made a fresh swing low after a sharp breakdown; trading well below all key EMAs/SMAs with RSI ~$36 (weak bounce attempt only).
Dead-cat bounce / relief rally from the new low, likely stalling at the first moving-average supply (EMA20/EMA50 zone), then another leg down unless $26.65 is reclaimed. (Elliott: likely in wave 5 down or wave C of a larger ABC from the ~$48 top; bounce would be wave (iv) before a final push.)
Bottoming attempt forms if price holds above the current low and puts in a HL, then reclaims EMA20/EMA50; would set up an ABC rebound toward the broken breakdown area near the low $30s. (Fib: rebound often targets ~38.2%–50% of the last impulse down, aligning with ~$28–$31.)
Daily close below $22.80 with no immediate reclaim the next session
2+ daily closes back above $26.65 (EMA50) while holding above $26.00
Buy zones are anchored to the fresh swing-low support ($22.8) and measured extensions below it; only add aggressively deeper if volatility spike/capitulation holds and a HL/undercut-and-rally appears.
Trim into prior supply/major MA clusters and the prior distribution zone (mid-$30s to low-$40s); full exit near the prior peak area where long-term mean reversion/sellers historically dominate.
As of May 22, 2026, TOST (Toast Inc.) is in a falling knife state on the daily chart with 72% confidence. Price at $23.16 made a fresh swing low after a sharp breakdown; trading well below all key EMAs/SMAs with RSI ~$36 (weak bounce attempt only).
On the daily timeframe, TOST has key support at $22.8 and key resistance at $26.6. The most likely scenario (bearish) targets $20.6 and $18.9, with a revert level at $25.0.
TOST (Toast Inc.) is currently classified as falling knife on the daily chart, with 72% confidence. Confirmation requires: Daily close below $22.80 with no immediate reclaim the next session This would be invalidated by: 2+ daily closes back above $26.65 (EMA50) while holding above $26.00
The most likely scenario (bearish) targets $20.6 and $18.9, with a revert level at $25.0. The alternative scenario (bullish) targets $28.8 and $31.6.
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