As of May 22, 2026, TMDX (TransMedics Group Inc.) is in a falling knife state on the weekly chart, with a confidence level of 78%. Key support is at $66.0 and key resistance at $92.0. Sharp weekly selloff with a major gap/impulse down, losing the full MA cluster (SMA50/100 + EMA50/100) and trading well below EMA200/SMA200; RSI weak (~33).
Dead-cat bounce / bear-market rally from the current oversold area toward the first broken support (now resistance), then rejection and another leg lower. (roughly 60%)
Capitulation completes and a base starts: price holds above the recent low, forms a higher low, and reclaims the $92 MA shelf leading to a larger mean-reversion move. (roughly 40%)
Weekly close below $66 (continued follow-through under the recent swing support).
Two consecutive weekly closes back above $92 (reclaim of EMA200/SMA200 zone).
Scale-in only at/under the current breakdown base: $66 is near-term swing support; $52-$60 is the next demand pocket (Fibo/structure); $42-$52 aligns with deeper capitulation toward prior consolidation and a typical Elliott Wave 5 exhaustion zone.
Trim into mean reversion back to the broken MA cluster ($105-$120), heavier trims into prior distribution highs ($135-$155), and full exit into the old peak supply zone ($165+), where upside becomes increasingly stretched versus long-term trend.
As of May 22, 2026, TMDX (TransMedics Group Inc.) is in a falling knife state on the weekly chart with 78% confidence. Sharp weekly selloff with a major gap/impulse down, losing the full MA cluster (SMA50/100 + EMA50/100) and trading well below EMA200/SMA200; RSI weak (~33).
On the weekly timeframe, TMDX has key support at $66.0 and key resistance at $92.0. The most likely scenario (bearish) targets $78.0 and $60.0, with a revert level at $92.0.
TMDX (TransMedics Group Inc.) is currently classified as falling knife on the weekly chart, with 78% confidence. Confirmation requires: Weekly close below $66 (continued follow-through under the recent swing support). This would be invalidated by: Two consecutive weekly closes back above $92 (reclaim of EMA200/SMA200 zone).
The most likely scenario (bearish) targets $78.0 and $60.0, with a revert level at $92.0. The alternative scenario (bullish) targets $92.0 and $105.
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