As of May 22, 2026, TMDX (TransMedics Group Inc.) is in a falling knife state on the monthly chart, with a confidence level of 72%. Key support is at $65.0 and key resistance at $90.0. Sharp monthly selloff to ~$68.92 with a large red close near lows, breaking below the rising SMA50 (~$88.54) and EMA50 (~$90.25); EMA100 (~$108.15) overhead; RSI14 ~42 (weak momentum).
Bearish continuation (likely Wave C / Wave 3-style extension): after a brief dead-cat bounce, price retests the broken MA cluster (~$82-$90) then rolls over toward the next demand shelf.
Bottoming attempt: price holds the ~$65 area (prior pivot zone) and forms a monthly HL, then mean-reverts back to the EMA50/SMA50 cluster and potentially the EMA100 if momentum improves.
Monthly close below $65 would confirm continuation downside (fresh LL).
Two monthly closes back above $90 would invalidate falling-knife risk and shift toward breakout-reversal/base.
Scale around the current swing-low zone (~$65) first, add on breakdown/flush into the next Fibonacci-demand band (~$52-$60), and deploy heavier near the deeper retrace/old base area (~$42-$50).
Trim into the EMA100/previous breakdown zone first, trim more into prior swing-high resistance (~$135-$150), and fully exit into the prior peak/extension area (~$160-$170) if a full trend recovery occurs.
As of May 22, 2026, TMDX (TransMedics Group Inc.) is in a falling knife state on the monthly chart with 72% confidence. Sharp monthly selloff to ~$68.92 with a large red close near lows, breaking below the rising SMA50 (~$88.54) and EMA50 (~$90.25); EMA100 (~$108.15) overhead; RSI14 ~42 (weak momentum).
On the monthly timeframe, TMDX has key support at $65.0 and key resistance at $90.0. The most likely scenario (bearish) targets $60.0 and $45.0, with a revert level at $85.0.
TMDX (TransMedics Group Inc.) is currently classified as falling knife on the monthly chart, with 72% confidence. Confirmation requires: Monthly close below $65 would confirm continuation downside (fresh LL). This would be invalidated by: Two monthly closes back above $90 would invalidate falling-knife risk and shift toward breakout-reversal/base.
The most likely scenario (bearish) targets $60.0 and $45.0, with a revert level at $85.0. The alternative scenario (bullish) targets $90.0 and $108.
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