As of May 15, 2026, RBRK (Rubrik, Inc.) is in a bottoming attempt state on the monthly chart, with a confidence level of 62%. Key support is at $55.0 and key resistance at $66.0. Monthly bounce from the ~$48 swing low with 2 strong green candles; price reclaimed the short EMA (EMA20) and is probing prior breakdown area near mid-$60s; RSI back to ~52.
Base-build then push through $66; next leg targets the 0.382–0.50 Fibonacci retrace of the ~$96→$48 drop (mean-reversion toward prior supply). Rough probability ~60%.
Failure at $66 and rollover back into the range; retest the prior demand zone and possibly the swing low if risk-off resumes. Rough probability ~40%.
Monthly close above $66.00 (with follow-through next month holding >$66) confirms the bottoming attempt turning into a tradable reversal.
Monthly close below $48.00 invalidates the basing structure and reopens the downtrend.
Start on pullback toward reclaimed EMA20/near-term pivot; add at prior consolidation/support; heavy add only on deep retest/undercut of the swing-low zone with reversal behavior.
Trim into major Fibonacci retrace/overhead supply from the prior peak region; exit if price returns to clear multi-month excess above prior highs where mean-reversion risk is elevated.
As of May 15, 2026, RBRK (Rubrik, Inc.) is in a bottoming attempt state on the monthly chart with 62% confidence. Monthly bounce from the ~$48 swing low with 2 strong green candles; price reclaimed the short EMA (EMA20) and is probing prior breakdown area near mid-$60s; RSI back to ~52.
On the monthly timeframe, RBRK has key support at $55.0 and key resistance at $66.0. The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $72.0 and $78.0, with a revert level at $60.0.
RBRK (Rubrik, Inc.) is currently classified as bottoming attempt on the monthly chart, with 62% confidence. Confirmation requires: Monthly close above $66.00 (with follow-through next month holding >$66) confirms the bottoming attempt turning into a tradable reversal. This would be invalidated by: Monthly close below $48.00 invalidates the basing structure and reopens the downtrend.
The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $72.0 and $78.0, with a revert level at $60.0. The alternative scenario (bearish) targets $55.0 and $48.0.
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