As of May 22, 2026, MSTR (MicroStrategy Inc.) is in a bottoming attempt state on the weekly chart, with a confidence level of 63%. Key support is at $156 and key resistance at $178. Weekly bounce off the $120–$130 swing-low zone with price back above SMA200 (~$155.65) but still below EMA200 (~$177.70) and well below EMA50/EMA100; RSI ~44 shows recovery but not trend strength.
Base-to-reclaim attempt: price holds above SMA200, grinds up and retests EMA200; if accepted, a push into the $200–$216 area (EMA50/EMA100 cluster) as a wave-(B)/(2) style rebound within a larger corrective structure.
Rejection at EMA200: price fails near $175–$180, rolls over and revisits the prior demand zone; a break would reopen the downtrend (wave-(C)/(3) continuation risk) and likely volatility expansion.
2+ weekly closes above $177.70 (EMA200) while holding above $155.65 (SMA200)
Weekly close below $120.00
Scale near SMA200 reclaim ($155.65) with adds on pullbacks toward the base; heavy add only on deeper retest/undercut of the $120–$130 swing-low demand.
Trim into the first major MA supply cluster (EMA100/EMA50 + SMA50/SMA100), and consider full exit only if price becomes extremely extended back into prior distribution/peak-zone where reversal risk historically rises.
As of May 22, 2026, MSTR (MicroStrategy Inc.) is in a bottoming attempt state on the weekly chart with 63% confidence. Weekly bounce off the $120–$130 swing-low zone with price back above SMA200 (~$155.65) but still below EMA200 (~$177.70) and well below EMA50/EMA100; RSI ~44 shows recovery but not trend strength.
On the weekly timeframe, MSTR has key support at $156 and key resistance at $178. The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $178 and $215, with a revert level at $156.
MSTR (MicroStrategy Inc.) is currently classified as bottoming attempt on the weekly chart, with 63% confidence. Confirmation requires: 2+ weekly closes above $177.70 (EMA200) while holding above $155.65 (SMA200) This would be invalidated by: Weekly close below $120.00
The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $178 and $215, with a revert level at $156. The alternative scenario (bearish) targets $140 and $120.
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