As of May 22, 2026, MSTR (MicroStrategy Inc.) is in a downtrend state on the daily chart, with a confidence level of 71%. Key support is at $150 and key resistance at $168. Pulled back to ~$160 after a rebound into the $190s; price is still below key falling EMAs/SMA200, with RSI ~45 (cooling momentum).
Base-building pullback holds $150 and price grinds back above EMA50, then retests the EMA100/SMA100 cluster; this fits an Elliott Wave view of a corrective rebound (wave 2/B) inside a larger downtrend.
Support fails: price loses $150 and slides toward the prior demand zone near the 2026 swing low area; in Elliott Wave terms this would align with a continuation leg (wave 3/C) lower after the rebound stalled below the EMA200.
Daily close below $150 followed by another close below $150 (support break + follow-through).
Two daily closes above $168 (reclaim EMA100/SMA100 zone) with higher low holding above $160.
Layer bids around the $150 pivot (recent swing/round-number support) and scale heavier into the prior base/swing-low area if the downtrend resumes; invalidation improves on reclaim of $168+.
Trim into strong overhead supply zones first (prior rebound highs + EMA200/SMA200 area), then heavier trimming if price becomes extended back into major multi-month resistance where prior distribution occurred.
As of May 22, 2026, MSTR (MicroStrategy Inc.) is in a downtrend state on the daily chart with 71% confidence. Pulled back to ~$160 after a rebound into the $190s; price is still below key falling EMAs/SMA200, with RSI ~45 (cooling momentum).
On the daily timeframe, MSTR has key support at $150 and key resistance at $168. The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $168 and $190, with a revert level at $158.
MSTR (MicroStrategy Inc.) is currently classified as downtrend on the daily chart, with 71% confidence. Confirmation requires: Daily close below $150 followed by another close below $150 (support break + follow-through). This would be invalidated by: Two daily closes above $168 (reclaim EMA100/SMA100 zone) with higher low holding above $160.
The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $168 and $190, with a revert level at $158. The alternative scenario (bearish) targets $140 and $125.
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