As of May 22, 2026, LITE (Lumentum Holdings Inc.) is in a parabolic state on the monthly chart, with a confidence level of 82%. Key support is at $720 and key resistance at $960. Monthly price is in a near-vertical advance to ~$946 with expanding volume; RSI-14 ~97.6 (extremely overbought) and price massively extended above EMA50/EMA100 and SMAs.
Cooling/consolidation after blow-off: price chops or pulls back toward the breakout area, then attempts a re-advance if buyers defend prior highs (typical wave-4 style pause within an impulsive Elliott advance). Rough probability: ~60%.
Extension/blow-off continuation: brief shallow dip gets bought and price pushes to a new peak before a larger mean-reversion (late wave-5 extension risk). Rough probability: ~40%.
Sustained strength is confirmed with a monthly close above $960 (holding above prior highs).
Parabolic state is invalidated if a monthly close falls below $720 (breaks the most recent obvious swing low/support zone).
Prefer staging buys only on mean-reversion: $560-$620 aligns with likely wave-4/backtest area; deeper adds at $480-$560; heavy add near $360-$420 (closer to rising medium-term MAs/major breakout shelf).
With monthly RSI extreme and price far above EMA50/EMA100, trims are favored into $960-$1040 and more into $1040-$1200; consider full exit planning on a euphoric extension toward $1200-$1400.
As of May 22, 2026, LITE (Lumentum Holdings Inc.) is in a parabolic state on the monthly chart with 82% confidence. Monthly price is in a near-vertical advance to ~$946 with expanding volume; RSI-14 ~97.6 (extremely overbought) and price massively extended above EMA50/EMA100 and SMAs.
On the monthly timeframe, LITE has key support at $720 and key resistance at $960. The most likely scenario (bearish) targets $720 and $560, with a revert level at $840.
LITE (Lumentum Holdings Inc.) is currently classified as parabolic on the monthly chart, with 82% confidence. Confirmation requires: Sustained strength is confirmed with a monthly close above $960 (holding above prior highs). This would be invalidated by: Parabolic state is invalidated if a monthly close falls below $720 (breaks the most recent obvious swing low/support zone).
The most likely scenario (bearish) targets $720 and $560, with a revert level at $840. The alternative scenario (bullish) targets $1040 and $1200.
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