As of May 22, 2026, IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust) is in a bottoming attempt state on the daily chart, with a confidence level of 58%. Key support is at $40.0 and key resistance at $45.0. Price at $42.96 is chopping just below the falling EMA50 (~$43.42) and under the EMA100 (~$44.85), after a sharp selloff and a rebound off the ~$37 area; RSI ~44.9 signals weak momentum.
Range-to-up resolution: hold ~$40 support, reclaim EMA100/near-term supply, then push toward the next overhead MAs (EMA200/SMA100 cluster). Rough probability 55%.
Downtrend resumes: rejection at ~$45 and loss of the base floor sends price back to the February/March support band; if that breaks, a retest of the capitulation low becomes likely. Rough probability 45%.
2+ daily closes above $44.85 (EMA100) with support holding on a retest
Daily close below $37.50 (break of the swing low support)
Adds are keyed to the base floor (~$40), then the swing-low retest (~$37.5), then a deeper flush zone; invalidation is a sustained break below the prior capitulation pivot.
Trim into major overhead MA/structure zones (SMA200/EMA200 region then prior distribution), and fully exit into a likely Wave-5/extension area near the previous peak supply ($67-$72).
As of May 22, 2026, IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust) is in a bottoming attempt state on the daily chart with 58% confidence. Price at $42.96 is chopping just below the falling EMA50 (~$43.42) and under the EMA100 (~$44.85), after a sharp selloff and a rebound off the ~$37 area; RSI ~44.9 signals weak momentum.
On the daily timeframe, IBIT has key support at $40.0 and key resistance at $45.0. The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $45.0 and $48.2, with a revert level at $43.4.
IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust) is currently classified as bottoming attempt on the daily chart, with 58% confidence. Confirmation requires: 2+ daily closes above $44.85 (EMA100) with support holding on a retest This would be invalidated by: Daily close below $37.50 (break of the swing low support)
The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $45.0 and $48.2, with a revert level at $43.4. The alternative scenario (bearish) targets $40.0 and $37.5.
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