As of April 30, 2026, BTC/USD (Bitcoin) is in a bottoming attempt state on the monthly chart, with a confidence level of 62%. Key support is at $66000 and key resistance at $85000. Monthly pullback from ~$120k+ highs into the mid-$60k area, then a bounce to ~$76.4k; price still below the falling EMA50 (~$85.0k) while holding above EMA100 (~$66.0k).
Base holds above the ~$64k–$66k swing-low/EMA100 region, then BTC grinds higher to retest the EMA50 and prior breakdown zone; if reclaimed, momentum can carry toward the prior supply near the low-$90ks to ~$100k.
Relief bounce fails under EMA50 and price rolls over; a breakdown below ~$64k triggers a deeper mean-reversion toward the rising longer MAs (SMA50/EMA200) and prior consolidation support.
2 monthly closes back above $85,000 (EMA50 area) would confirm a breakout-reversal attempt.
A monthly close below $64,000 would invalidate the bottoming attempt and increase odds of a deeper correction.
Start near EMA100/support ($66k) on confirmation bounces; add on deeper pullbacks into prior structure; heavy add if capitulation tests the EMA200/SMA50 region (~$58k down to mid-$40ks).
Trim into prior ATH supply and Fibonacci extension zones (psychological $100k then $112k–$125k); close if price becomes materially stretched above EMA50/EMA100 with monthly RSI pushing back to overheated conditions.
As of April 30, 2026, BTC/USD (Bitcoin) is in a bottoming attempt state on the monthly chart with 62% confidence. Monthly pullback from ~$120k+ highs into the mid-$60k area, then a bounce to ~$76.4k; price still below the falling EMA50 (~$85.0k) while holding above EMA100 (~$66.0k).
On the monthly timeframe, BTC/USD has key support at $66000 and key resistance at $85000. The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $85000 and $100000, with a revert level at $72000.
BTC/USD (Bitcoin) is currently classified as bottoming attempt on the monthly chart, with 62% confidence. Confirmation requires: 2 monthly closes back above $85,000 (EMA50 area) would confirm a breakout-reversal attempt. This would be invalidated by: A monthly close below $64,000 would invalidate the bottoming attempt and increase odds of a deeper correction.
The most likely scenario (bullish) targets $85000 and $100000, with a revert level at $72000. The alternative scenario (bearish) targets $58000 and $47000.
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